Trying To rationalize The Irrational
In an article of mine from last year, I said:
One of the most interesting things about living under modernity is the complete obscurity and uncertainty about nearly everything that is happening.
The economy is a great example of this effect.
We have had so many drastic, massive shifts in the economy as of late. Things that most reasonable people would have assumed would have caused certain consequences given our general understanding of an economy. But often these shifts just created even more odd, uncertain things that also made little sense.
A rational person would, given these conditions, assume that something was going on. But you look around to the average American public and barely see any worry, except some slight anger over the increased price of gas.
Meanwhile, I would have assumed the opposite. It would make sense to me if we were enduring much more serious financial problems by now. By this point, I’m still not sure what we are running on. Where the average American is surprised about higher gas prices, I’m surprised we’re not currently undergoing a great depression.
These are a few out of many. I’m sure most readers could probably add another handful of contradictory economic elements with little thought. The takeaway is that no one really knows what is happening. The general laws and expectations we had for an economy don’t seem to exist anymore. I believe this is by design, as people like William Casey desired.
Many people have been attempting to predict economic movement based on a libertarian, free-market economy. This is silly because we do not have that kind of market.
But others try to rationally review our debt-based monetary system through the correct lens of debt and the Fed, but even that isn’t lining up.
In short, nothing is happening that should be happening if we think about the situation logically. Housing, supply chains, the stock market, jobs, the American dollar, inflation… you name it. None of it makes sense.
We can’t even follow historical trends fully, because historical trends rested under different market precepts than what we have now.
This is why when people try to predict or explain what is going to happen in the market rationally, they get it wrong. Because the market is not rational. But it’s also not just sporadic, either. It is now fundamentally irrational.
A potential precursor to WW3 breaks out and the stock market continues to go up. The money printers are going faster than ever before and our dollar is stronger comparatively to other currencies. International sanctions are placed on Russia and the region that is actually harmed is Europe. Everything has reopened from covid lockdowns and supply lines are getting worse, not better. Major inflation is happening but spending is higher than ever before. The list goes on and on. Nothing makes sense.
Our entire economic system is falsified and manipulated. It is not free nor centrally planned. It is a hodgepodge of numerous competing, contradictory, and irrational actors.
We know the Fed is akin to one arm of central planning, that money laundering is occurring, that politicians are averting stock market laws, that big banks are scheming, that powerful international organizations are involved in our internal affairs, and that many crises are completely manufactured. None of these are rational. Something greater is going on.
It may be helpful to relate the market to a person. The market is not a rational person at a chess table that realizes what is going on and is acting strategically, giving us the ability to predict or expect certain moves. No, our “market man” is the complete opposite. He is a schizo hopped up on bath salts and fentanyl—We have no idea what he is going to do, but we know with almost crystal clarity that it will not be rational.
Some of our guys keep trying to rationally explain the workings of the market. This is in vain.
Our markets are not rational, and they cannot be made rational given our current conditions.
How long can the riggers play pretend and keep everything propped up? No one knows. No one knows how long they want to keep up the appearances, either.
We know that our economic system cannot sustain like this, but no one knows when the ball drops. Except perhaps the riggers themselves.
But even that is not guaranteed.
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