An Updated Cycle of Collapse Model
The Circular Diagram
Imagine a circle that has three points on it. We’ll call it the anacyclosis circle.
One point on the northernmost part and the other 2 points spaced in a triangular line from this principal point.
Note that the circle progresses in the clockwise fashion. The northernmost point is tyranny. The second point is capitalism. The third point represents socialism.
Actually, you don’t need to imagine it. Luckily, I have Photoshop. You can just look at it here:
This is the cycle of collapse. A visual form of it.
Understanding the Anacyclosis Circle
What this visual diagram represents is the progression of political governance. IE: The cycle of how regime’s deteriorate.
Starting with monarchy, he noted that the monarchs usually become tyrants. After tyrants, we have aristocracies. Aristocracies fall to oligarchies. They revive oligarchies with democracies, and democracies fall to ochlocracy. Over time, the monarchy returns out of the dust of the ochlocracy.
Then, the cycle repeats.
Individuals like Polybius, Aristotle, and Plato all noted these trends (in different manners).
Luckily, we have their works and also something they didn’t have. Which is the unprecedented ability in the modern era to look back on their time and everything else that has occurred since then.
The above circular diagram helps explain this political governance transition in a more modern light. It explains how each individual regime eventually degrades. How democracy falls to mob rule, how monarchy falls to tyranny, et cetera.
It does this by analyzing socio-economic trends of these types of governmental systems. The benevolent forms of anacyclosis regimes typically showcase freer markets, benevolent leaders, stronger watchmen, and a larger focus on national unity.
In our diagram, the capitalism point stands for pure free market capitalism [government does not control means of production]. More freedom for the individual. Less elitist control. Majority decentralized.
Whereas the socialism point stands for complete market intervention by elitists [government controls means of production]. No market freedom. No public control. This includes control of the means of production by any power player other than free market (such as oligarchy or mob rule). Majority centralized.
It is unlikely for any government to reside 100% on either of the points. Usually, each government exhibits a “mix. Freer, more open nations lean toward capitalism. Less free or degenerative lean toward socialism.
As you can tell, I leave tyranny alone. For good reason: tyrannical governments can be somewhat capitalistic or socialistic in nature. They can also change rapidly at the whims of the authoritarian leadership.
Over time, the benevolent forms of government degrade.
Start with the rule by one, monarchy. The free, benevolent monarchy [capitalist] starts off rather decentralized and open. Yet, it degrades into an authoritarian government-controlled economy regime [socialist]. Eventually, this tyrant gets overthrown, leading toward violence and revolution [tyranny]. After they are overthrown, the aristocracy appears [capitalistic, benevolent].
The same occurs with aristocracies. It starts out free and benevolent [capitalism]. Over time, the oligarchs seize control of the socioeconomic conditions in the nation [socialism]. This sparks outrage and the eventual ousting of the oligarchs [tyranny], ushering in democracy.
Democracy has a similar fate. We witness free market and free peoples [capitalism]. Slowly, we lose this system. Mob rule takes over [socialism]. Until a tyrant arrives and eliminates the mob [tyranny], ushering in a rule by one situation yet again.
Then, it repeats.
Any instance between regimes is categorized by this cycle and ends in tyranny: whether this is a violent overthrowing of a government, a collapsing of the financial system, a forced cultural revolution, or an outbreak of mob violence / anarchy. All of this presents the same tyrannical problems: violence, destruction, and a massive changing hands of power.
Using this system we can pinpoint where each government is in comparison to one another of similar regimes. We can relate Western nations that are all democratic. We could compare similar communist nations to one another. We can use it to see the future of our own nation.
The cycle of collapse helps us understand how each regime falls. Anacyclosis helps us understand the cycle of regime change itself. Both are useful tools in figuring out where we stand and where our future lies.
It will also help us find a solution to stop this cycle from occurring.
Our Fate on the Anacyclosis Circle
Every nation slowly (or rapidly) moves in a clockwise fashion on this circle.
What does this mean? Well it means that each government is working its way back to tyranny.
We fall from grace, we become virtuous, and then we repeat the failures that every other ancient civilization has made and will continue to make.
It’s all part of anacyclosis. It’s all part of the cycle of collapse.
Every nation, empire, or civilization has witnessed it. The government slowly declines from free to less free to tyrannical.
It’s the cycle:
The United States is moving closer and closer to socialism every day. We can’t go back, only forward.
I’ve written a few different articles about the trend and ways to delay it. I’m also researching ways to stop it permanently. You can read them here:
- The Cycle of Collapse
- What is Anacyclosis and Kyklos? A Journey From Ancient Greece to Modern Day US
- Justification For The Diversion: Why We Need A New Government
Along with an answer on how to fix (or at least delay) the degradation:
You may lose a bit of hope thinking that we can’t stop the cycle. But realize that even if socialists win, their victory won’t last forever. Tyranny comes next. And how long that lasts is solely up to the citizenry.
Then, we’ll be back to capitalism and the next form of regime.
Well, at least until it degrades… yet again.
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