I’m starting to notice a trend with this 40% figure.
First, we have 40% of people that get COVID, don’t actually “get” covid:
Percent of infections that are asymptomatic
Scenario 5: Current Best Estimate: 40%
Now, some state representatives in Minnesota reviewed thousands of COVID death certificates and found that 40% of their sample did not actually have COVID as the underlying cause of death:
Minnesota lawmakers say coronavirus deaths could be inflated by 40% after reviewing death certificates
State Rep. Mary Franson and state Sen. Scott Jensen released a video last week revealing that after reviewing thousands of death certificates in the state, 40% did not have COVID-19 as the underlying cause of death.
“I have other examples where COVID isn’t the underlying cause of death, where we have a fall. Another example is we have a freshwater drowning. We have dementia. We have a stroke and multiorgan failure,” Franson said in the video.
She added that in one case, a person who was ejected from a car was “counted as a COVID death” because the virus was in his system.
Franson said she and a team reviewed 2,800 “death certificate data points” and found that about 800 of them did not have the virus as the underlying cause of death.
“For 17 years, the CDC document that guides us as physicians to do death certificates has stood, but this year, we were told, through the Department of Health and the CDC, that the rules were changing if COVID-19 was involved.”
“If it’s COVID-19, we’re told now it doesn’t matter if it was actually the diagnosis that caused death. If someone had it, they died of it,” he said.
Another (local) article detailing the above with the video can be found archived here.
Currently, deaths are at 332,246. Adjusting for the 40% incorrectly reported would drop the total death rate to a little under 200k (199,348). A rather small number for a “raging” pandemic that’s been here for nearly a year and infected millions.
Additionally, the best estimates for the fatality rate by the CDC are as follows:
0-19 years: 0.00003
20-49 years: 0.0002
50-69 years: 0.005
70+ years: 0.054
I would assume that the CDC utilized their full (and incorrect) death count in their model to calculate the fatality ratios. Which means each of these would likewise decrease in severity by a change of 40% to the numerator. Which would make them even more pathetic than they are now.
Quite the hype for such a low fatality rate.
This is not the first example of the over-inflation of COVID numbers, either.
PJ explains it nicely:
While the Department of Health did remove 200 deaths from the count, the Freedom Foundation did another analysis. Combining data sources from the Department of Health for nearly 2,000 deaths as of early September, the new analysis found that 170 death certificates did not mention COVID-19. Another 171 deaths had no causal connection to the virus. According to the Post Millennial, the group estimates Washington’s death counts could be inflated by as much as 20%.
New data from the CDC regarding the conditions contributing to deaths where COVID-19 is also involved clearly demonstrates deaths from the virus are overestimated nationwide. This is not surprising given the loose guidelines for attributing a death to COVID-19 and the financial incentives through public and private insurance to put COVID-19 on a patient’s chart.
First, as I have written several times, many COVID-19-positive people who were terminally ill died a few months before they otherwise would have. These “pull-forward deaths” often happen with influenza and pneumonia when a person is elderly or severely compromised. For example, the data shows 3,622 people over the age of 75 died of hypertensive renal disease with kidney failure. Kidney failure is a progressive and terminal condition, even with kidney dialysis. An additional 939 in the same age group died with lung cancer as well as COVID-19.
The above does not even include the broad class of ICD-9 Codes referred to as “Intentional and unintentional injury, poisoning, and other adverse events.” This report contains 9,343 deaths associated with everything from drug overdoses to traumatic accidents and suicide. These deaths alone equal 3% of the current number of total deaths.
At this point, anyone taking the numbers at face value has probably never taken a basic statistics course.